Democrats have overplayed their hand by trying to destroy a good man’s life.
The American people are mad – and new polls show they’re taking out their anger on Red State Democrats.
The Democrats have pulled out all the stops, including openly discarding all notions of due process, to try to delay the confirmation of Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh in the belief that they will take the Senate come November. But a series of recent polls suggest that going all in on destroying Kavanaugh may have ended up destroying their larger goal of taking back the Senate.
Multiple polls have found similar results regarding voter enthusiasm amid the Kavanaugh battle that should have Democrats very worried. A new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll published Wednesday found that the significant enthusiasm advantage the Democrats once enjoyed just three months ago has evaporated. “In July, there was a 10-point gap between the number of Democrats and Republicans saying the November elections were ‘very important,’” NPR reports. “Now, that is down to 2 points, a statistical tie.”
In July, 78% of Democrats and 68% of Republicans said the election was “very important.” Now, 82% of Democrats and 80% of Republicans say it is very important. Independents’ enthusiasm has remained largely unchanged: 64% in July, 65% in October.
Particularly interesting are the breakdowns by gender: Enthusiasm among Democrat women has slipped by 2 points from 81% to 79%, while enthusiasm among Republican women has surged by 12 points from 71% to 83%. Enthusiasm has jumped among Democrat men by 15 points from 73% to 88% and among Republican men by 12 points from 66% and 88%.
“Democrats’ advantage on which party’s candidate they are more likely to support has also been cut in half since last month,” NPR notes. “Democrats still retain a 6-point edge on that question, but it was 12 points after a Marist poll conducted in mid-September.”
Those findings are similar to the results of a recent Quinnipiac University National Pollreleased Tuesday and conducted after the Kavanaugh-Ford hearing, which found that 49% of voters said they support the Democratic candidate in their local race for the House of Representatives, while 42% back the Republican candidate.
“That’s a 7-point gain for Republicans in just a week, with support for Democrats dropping 3% and support for Republicans rising 4%,” The Daily Wire’s Joseph Curl reports. “In the September 12 survey by Quinnipiac, Democrats held a 52 – 38 margin, so Republicans have cut the lead in half.”
As Curl notes, a recent Gallup voter enthusiasm poll found similar results. “Sixty-one percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners and 58% of Republicans and Republican leaners say they are more enthusiastic about voting in November compared to prior elections,” Gallup reports. “These levels roughly match Republicans’ record-high enthusiasm in 2010, Barack Obama’s first midterm, when the GOP won a whopping 63 seats. But this is the first time in Gallup’s trend since 1994 that both parties have expressed high enthusiasm.”
A fourth poll that could spell trouble for Democrats in the Senate indicates that if the FBI finds no corroboration of the allegations against Kavanaugh, a strong majority of American voters believe he should be confirmed, putting red-state Democrats in a “nightmare scenario.”
As The Daily Wire reported Monday, Harvard CAPS/Harris survey published Sunday found that “when people are told that the three named witnesses do not corroborate the accusations of Christine Blasey Ford, opinion shifts decisively in Kavanaugh’s favor.” Harris Poll chair Mark Penn reports that when respondents are informed that the three witnesses named by Ford do not corroborate her claims, 57% said they are in favor of confirming Kavanaugh. If the FBI should find no corroboration for Ford’s claims, that percentage ticks up to 60% who say Kavanaugh should be confirmed. Penn reports:
In terms of the overall needle, after the testimony was heard, 37 percent say confirm the nomination, 44 percent say reject it, and 18 percent remain undecided, with Democrats going one way and Republicans the other. But once the voters are told that the named witnesses deny any knowledge of the allegation, this shifts to 57 percent who favor confirmation — and that goes up to 60 percent, if the FBI agrees there is no corroboration. Remember, because there is no specific “where” or “when” in Ford’s allegation, Kavanaugh cannot establish an alibi — and that’s why corroboration of other facts is so critical.